如何预测房地产市场的兴衰

How to predict Bubble or Boom Market

Have you been following the newspaper headlines?  Is the market over?  Is a bubble forming?  Have the prices peaked?  Are prices falling?  Are there any more opportunities in Canadian Real Estate?  Based upon all the Newspaper headlines, it is not a matter whether the U.S. Housing market is going to crash, it is a matter of how much and how quickly?  How will this affect the Canadian Real Estate market? 

***Two excellent unbiased reports you will want to download and review in depth are the following:

a) Housing Affordability Index (RBC):
For full report Click Here:

b) Market Bubble watch (TD Bank)
For full report Click Here:

***Focus On Real Estate Fundamentals:

It almost seems that everywhere you turn, these doom and gloom headlines are creeping in, and many people are actually listening to the hype and mis-information in the marketplace and basing their decisions on these headlines without looking 'Behind the Curtain' at the underlying economic fundamentals. 

Sophisticated investors have seen headlines like this before and they dig behind them to separate what is real from the manufactured. As the Real Estate markets continue to heat up, it is now more important than ever that you focus on the unbiased economic fundamentals and remove yourself from the hype and emotions that surround the Real Estate market.  As well, during this time of hot markets you will need to be better educated and more on top of the economic fundamentals or you risk making a poor investment decision.

 1) Mortgage Interest Rates
 2) Net Wealth Effect (Disposable Incomes, Median Incomes, Employment Rates, Housing Affordability Index)
 3) Increased Job Growth & In-Migration
 4) Real Estate Doppler Effect
 5) Local Regional & Provincial Political Climate
 6) Critical Infrastructure Expansion
 7) Increased Costs of Labour & Materials
 8) Area Gentrification & Renewal
 9) Maximizing Value and Zoning Opportunities
 10) Renovations And Sweat Equity
 11) Speculation & Rumours

When you follow these fundamentals, predicting the Real Estate market and seeing the Real Estate BOOM markets becomes very easy.  You can also easily identify areas where it might be time to sell.